XVII. 2002 IRRA LIFETIME
ACHIEVEMENT AWARD
My Thanks To The
Industrial Relations Research Association For The Lifetime Achievement
Award
George P. Shultz
I am deeply honored that the Industrial
Relations Research Association is awarding me its Lifetime Achievement
Award. Since I was president of the IRRA in 1968, my career has taken
many twists and turns in the public and private sectors as well as in
university life. I learned a great deal from my work in the industrial
relations arena and that learning has stood me in good stead in every
post I have held.
Whatever your formal discipline--mine
was economics--you learn in top posts to think in broad terms about problems
or opportunities as they exist and what to do about them. So you can use
many lessons from the industrial relations arena. You learn to negotiate
and you learn something about timing. You learn about the importance of
the attitudes people bring, about the role of a leader, of a mediator,
of an arbitrator. All these industrial relations skills have their counterparts
in other fields. Here are a couple of examples taken from my time as Secretary
of State.
Negotiations with the Soviet Union in Moscow:
Setting a Date for a Summit
At precisely 11:00 am, I walked from my
end of St. Catherine's Hall and Secretary General Gorbachev from his.
We met, as was traditional, in the middle of the room. Our delegations
followed. A small pool of reporters was present. Gorbachev engaged in
a little banter. One of the reporters shouted something about a trip by
Gorbachev to the United States. "I think it's going to happen," he said.
Summit fever was everywhere, and the press took this comment as confirmation
that an agreement about dates for the Washington summit was coming. The
reporters were herded out, and we started in.
On my side of the table sat Frank Carlucci,
along with Paul Nitze, Roz Ridgway, and Ambassador Jack Matlock, plus
our note taker, Mark Parris, and our interpreter. We looked across not
only at Gorbachev but at Foreign Minister Shevardnadze, Ambassador Dobrynin,
Marshal Akhromeyev, Deputy Foreign Minister Bessmertnykh, Ambassador Dubinin,
Gorbachev adviser Chernyaev, and the Soviet interpreter.
Gorbachev was smiling and positive in
his manner. He noted that my presence in Moscow so soon after Shevardnadze's
lengthy meetings in Washington spoke for itself and suggested that the
U.S.-Soviet relationship had entered a more dynamic phase. The Soviets
welcomed this, said Gorbachev. But, he continued, "The most important
thing is substance. I feel that there, too, something is emerging."
I agreed and noted what I had said in
my toast the day before: "Ten years from now, people will record the Reykjavik
summit meeting as having accomplished more than any previous summit."
Reykjavik had been "a kind of intellectual
breakthrough," Gorbachev responded. Its shock effect, he said, had been
similar to that caused by the reaction to the plummet of 500-points of
the U.S. stock market on October 19, 1987, just four days earlier (he
couldn't resist a shot at capitalism), a sense that something big had
happened. "When people settle down," he said, "they realize that a new
stage in the U.S.-Soviet political dialogue has started, especially in
security issues."
Gorbachev asserted that an intermediate-range
nuclear force (INF) agreement could be completed soon. The main issues
should be resolved in Moscow, leaving only technical questions, drafting,
and editorial work for the negotiators. He then challenged me. "Why is
deployment of INF missiles continuing? Perhaps we should consider a joint
moratorium effective November 1, even before signing the treaty." Such
a move, he said, would correspond to the political decision that had been
made to conclude an agreement.
Remembering my industrial relations training,
I did not buy that argument. We should not give up what they were seeking
in the negotiations until the negotiations were satisfactorily concluded.
He said the "root problem" was "strategic arms" and "offensive arms in
space."
Gorbachev suddenly turned sour and aggressive.
After some additional comments, Gorbachev
mellowed, suggesting we "conclude this sharp exchange on the note on which
I began, a desire to improve relations. How would you like to conclude
the meeting?" he asked, more or less inviting me to make some comments
about the summit. I did not bite.
"The agenda does not seem to measure up
to what would be necessary at a summit and raises the question, would
we two leaders gain or lose in our own countries and the world," Gorbachev
continued. "It was right to have the first summit in Geneva and there
have been many meetings between you and Shevardnadze, so what would be
better, a summit meeting or something else? People will not understand
if the two leaders keep meeting and have nothing to show for it, especially
since both agreed and said publicly that strategic arms were the key."
In every meeting that I had with Gorbachev,
he always precipitated at least one episode of tension and acrimony. But
I also felt something unusual was transpiring now. I couldn't quite place
my finger on what it was, but I was determined not to fall into the trap
of trying to adjust substance in order to persuade him to come to Washington.
So I responded, again using my industrial relations instincts, that if
Gorbachev could not come to Washington, then perhaps "we should consider
other ways to conclude an INF accord. The accord is virtually complete
and should be signed, ratified, and put into effect," I said.
We should both do some thinking to "clarify
what should be done," Gorbachev responded. "I will report to the Soviet
leadership, and I assume you will report to the president."
"Of course," I replied. "Meetings of the
leaders of the two superpowers should be possible without the world shaking.
There is much to discuss," I said, "and it isn't necessary that every
central issue be resolved." In any case, I would report to the president
and "give some thought to alternative ways to have the INF treaty signed."
I could tell that he did not appreciate that suggestion.
Gorbachev kept saying that if we worked
hard between now (late October) and a prospective summit toward the end
of the year, we could accomplish a great deal in strategic arms and space.
I said I doubted it, although we would work on the problem. I felt once
again that Gorbachev was trying to exact a price in exchange for his agreement
to come to Washington. I was determined not to bite on that apple. Gorbachev
then said, "The dialogue is not over. I have the advantage that I can
write directly to the president."
By this time, it was 3:00 in the afternoon,
and our luncheon at Spaso House had long since been canceled. I went from
my meeting with Gorbachev to the security bubble in our embassy, where
I called President Reagan and described what had happened. I told the
president that if he wished to take a different approach, I knew I still
had time to turn the situation around. Perhaps a date could be set for
the summit, but, I said, "I think we should just pass. We shouldn't push
for this." The president, disappointed though I knew he must be, agreed
with me.
I went on to my press conference. The
expectation was that I would announce the dates for the summit, regarded
as the key objective of the whole meeting. Toward the end of my opening
statement, I said that we had not agreed on any date for the summit, and
so I was searching around for alternative ways to have the INF treaty
signed, since it was practically completed. I did not in any way raise
objections to Gorbachev's refusal to set a summit date, though he had
encouraged every expectation in advance that he would do this. I did not
want to dig him into a hole any deeper than he had already dug for himself--once
again a lesson from industrial relations.
When I briefed the NATO foreign ministers
in Brussels on Saturday, October 24, I reassured them and said I thought
they shouldn't be too concerned. I reported on the positive developments
from the Moscow meetings, including the narrowing of differences on the
number of ballistic missiles to be allowed in Strategic Arms Reduction
Talks (START).
I had just arrived in Washington that
same evening when a cable came in from our embassy in Moscow. Deputy Foreign
Minister Bessmertnykh had told Ambassador Matlock that Gorbachev had "blundered":
my meeting with Gorbachev "did not go as planned." The Soviets would try
to patch things up with us, he indicated. I could imagine that this was
so, from the point of view of the Soviet Foreign Ministry. But Gorbachev
knew something, I felt, something connected with Kremlin politics, that
the bureaucrats in the ministries did not know. Whatever the problem was,
the Soviets quickly moved to repair the damage. "There is no reason to
discuss the visit of Shultz to Moscow in terms of failure," Bessmertnykh
told Matlock. On October 27, Matlock telephoned me on the secure phone
from Moscow. Gorbachev had reversed himself; he wanted a summit. Shevardnadze
wanted to visit Washington on October 30 to set the date for it. A letter
was coming to President Reagan.
I called the president immediately. "Gorbachev
just blinked," I said.
U.S.-China Relations: Getting the Concept Right
President Reagan's instincts and my own
views on the People's Republic of China were similar. We well understood
and appreciated the geostrategic importance of China: an ancient culture
with large ethnic Chinese communities extending into many other countries
of the region, a nuclear power with ballistic missile capability, an antagonist
to the Soviets and a partner in efforts to counter them in Afghanistan
and Cambodia, and a country with a permanent seat and veto power in the
UN Security Council and with an enormous population of tremendous talent
and capable of becoming a large trading and investment partner. Recognizing
this, we nevertheless sought to alter the thinking underlying our policy.
My own attitude was a marked departure from the so-called China-card policy:
the idea that the United States could maneuver back and forth, playing
one big Communist power off against another.
When the geostrategic importance of China
became the conceptual prism through which Sino-American relations were
viewed, it was almost inevitable that American policy makers became overly
solicitous of Chinese interests, concerns, and sensitivities. Indeed,
though President Nixon's historic opening to China in 1972 gave both countries
some leverage with the Soviets, it is also true that the opening gave
the Chinese leverage against us. As a result, much of the history of Sino-American
relations since normalization of relations in 1978 could be described
as a series of Chinese-defined "obstacles"--such as Taiwan, technology
transfers, and trade--that the United States had been "tasked" by the
Chinese to overcome in order to preserve the overall relationship.
On the basis of my own experience, I knew
it would be a mistake to place too much emphasis on a relationship for
its own sake. A good relationship should emerge from the ability to solve
substantive problems of interest to both countries. As an old labor hand,
I had observed over the years that good relations deteriorate when the
two sides start valuing the relationship itself too highly. That would
lead the union leader to say, "Let's not push that grievance. It will
upset management." Or it would lead management to say to a foreman, "Don't
get so excited about that problem; you'll only stir up the union stewards."
When problems are not addressed, the relationship unfailingly deteriorates.
I am convinced that just as I had learned from work on labor-management
relations, the road to a bad relationship is to place too much emphasis
on the relationship for its own sake.
Furthermore, the moment the Chinese saw
that we so highly valued our relations with them, they would use that
assessment to gain concessions. It was therefore in the interest of the
Chinese to have us believe in the geostrategic triangle and in our responsibility
for sustaining it. Once those premises had been granted, we could then
be expected to concede on other issues, which by comparison paled in importance.
I remembered the lessons from studying
"The Causes of Industrial Peace Under Collective Bargaining." I told those
experiences to the president. So we changed the underlying assumptions
in the U.S.-China relationship. This change is one of the reasons why
that relationship prospered in the Reagan era.
In my entire career, I have been conscious
of the learning that came my way in the course of industrial relations
work and study.
My thanks to all of you for this special
honor.
With my respect and admiration,
George P. Shultz
|